Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.547377 1.677505 1.815286 1.972350 2.146815 2.335091 2.554212
2026-01-04 1.366562 1.548015 1.751058 1.996321 2.286180 2.619830 3.035830
2026-01-11 1.247751 1.460096 1.707720 2.020347 2.408096 2.877963 3.497721
2026-01-18 1.158405 1.391192 1.671830 2.039185 2.513506 3.113879 3.945329
2026-01-25 1.081123 1.326694 1.631094 2.041962 2.591129 3.313213 4.357540
2026-02-01 0.998476 1.247118 1.562468 1.999129 2.600035 3.416278 4.642085
2026-02-08 0.933708 1.184822 1.509939 1.970694 2.621959 3.533755 4.952540
2026-02-15 0.883191 1.137190 1.472381 1.957830 2.661550 3.675621 5.308680
2026-02-22 0.856979 1.119899 1.473679 1.997603 2.777275 3.935335 5.869701
2026-03-01 0.816603 1.080372 1.441116 1.985485 2.813852 4.076684 6.254301
2026-03-08 0.775167 1.036826 1.399901 1.957096 2.822234 4.172802 6.571153
2026-03-15 0.726697 0.980744 1.337478 1.892620 2.769156 4.165060 6.706502
2026-03-22 0.701496 0.957324 1.321923 1.899297 2.830444 4.351411 7.210830
2026-03-29 0.681776 0.940795 1.315459 1.919302 2.914309 4.582422 7.824744
2026-04-05 0.664132 0.926277 1.310929 1.941555 3.002810 4.828332 8.497001
2026-04-12 0.646657 0.911011 1.304186 1.959346 3.084361 5.068302 9.187825
2026-04-19 0.626776 0.891061 1.288984 1.961959 3.139199 5.263677 9.812460
2026-04-26 0.598248 0.856567 1.249264 1.921206 3.114051 5.306730 10.119312
2026-05-03 0.574721 0.828798 1.218819 1.894149 3.111148 5.391023 10.525384
2026-05-10 0.555906 0.807594 1.197837 1.881907 3.134088 5.526971 11.064755
2026-05-17 0.548715 0.804357 1.205626 1.919753 3.252548 5.863574 12.118196
2026-05-24 0.531898 0.785046 1.186127 1.908223 3.276139 6.008108 12.731886
2026-05-31 0.512994 0.761654 1.158842 1.881209 3.267712 6.084472 13.186723